Arrhythmia outcome definitions and comparisons between self-reported and hospital episode data
Additional data for death and hospitalisations were obtained from NHS Digital, the NHS Wales Informatics Service, and the Information Services Division of NHS Scotland. Data on hospitalisations were available for a mean of 14 years before randomization and throughout the study treatment period.
CD-10 (International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision) diagnoses and OPCS- 4 (OPCS Classification of Interventions and Procedures version 4) codes recorded during any admissions to an NHS hospital from the Hospital Episodes Statistics (HES) dataset and ICD-10 codes recorded on the death record were used to define atrial fibrillation (AF, which included atrial flutter) and non-fatal ventricular arrhythmia (VA) which included resuscitated cardiac arrest but excluded events occurring on the day of death (Table 1). VAs were restricted to non-fatal events because we could not reliably ascertain all such arrhythmias contributing to death, and it was not possible to determine which cardiac arrests without resuscitation had involved an arrhythmia; all AFs recorded were non-fatal. (Information was not available from primary care records, so any diagnoses of an arrhythmia by a participant’s general practitioner without admission to hospital would only be captured if the participant reported it).
The presence of any relevant diagnoses or procedures in HES records prior to the date of randomization was used to define prior history of AF (which was not recorded at baseline). The HES records can provide evidence of incident acute arrhythmias (ventricular arrhythmias) but only evidence of the presence of chronic arrhythmias (AFs) because admission records typically include several diagnoses and it is not possible to determine reliably which diagnosis was the cause of the admission. The arrhythmic outcomes defined were therefore: AF onset among participants without known AF at randomization; and the first recorded incidence of non-fatal VA. Onset of AF was defined as the first occurrence of one of the relevant codes (Table 1) in post-randomization HES or death records (in any diagnostic position) or a reported hospitalisation or serious event of AF in the trial among participants without prior history of AF. A relevant code (Table 1) in any diagnostic position within a post- randomization HES episode or a hospitalisation or serious event reported in the trial with survival to the next day was regarded as evidence of non-fatal ventricular arrhythmia.
Numbers of arrhythmias in electronic records versus reported in trial
Prior AF was recorded in 106 participants. Among the remaining 15 374 participants new onset of AF was identified in 1121 participants in HES, compared to 287 by self- report, including 231 reported in both, giving a total of 1177 from either source (Table 2, Figure 1). A VA was identified in 132 participants in HES, in only 12 in the trial data including 9 with a report in both sources yielding 135 in total.
Frequency of hospitalisation
The frequency of hospitalisation for a diagnosis other than an arrhythmia (providing the opportunity for incidental diagnosis of AF) was similar in the two treatment groups: 71% of participants in each treatment arm had a hospital episode prior to randomization for a non-arrhythmia diagnosis and the median (inter-quartile range) of the number of episodes was 1 (0-3) in each arm; three-quarters of participants (75.9% allocated omega-3 FA vs. 75.5% allocated placebo), had at least one such hospitalisation post-randomization and the number of episodes of hospitalisation (median 2, inter-quartile range 1-5) and time to first hospitalisation were similar in the two treatment groups (rate ratio 1.005, 95% CI, 0.97,1.04).
Table 1
International Classification of Disease (ICD-10) and OPCS Classification of Interventions and Procedures (OPCS-4) codes used for arrhythmia definitions
Code type |
Code | Description Non-fatal ventricular arrhythmia |
Non-fatal ventricular arrhythmia |
|
|
ICD10 |
I46.0 |
Cardiac arrest with successful resuscitation |
|
I46.9 |
Cardiac arrest, unspecified |
|
I47.0 |
Re-entry ventricular arrhythmia |
|
I47.2 |
Ventricular tachycardia |
|
I49.0 |
Ventricular fibrillation and flutter |
OPCS4 |
K57.6 |
Percutaneous transluminal ablation of ventricular wall NEC |
|
K64.1 |
Percutaneous radiofrequency ablation of epicardium |
|
X50.3 |
Advanced cardiac pulmonary resuscitation |
|
X50.4 |
External ventricular defibrillation |
|
X50.8 |
Other specified external resuscitation |
|
X50.9 |
Unspecified external resuscitation |
Atrial fibrillation |
||
ICD10 |
I48 |
Atrial fibrillation or flutter |
|
I48.0 |
Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation |
|
I48.1 |
Persistent atrial fibrillation |
|
I48.2 |
Chronic atrial fibrillation |
|
I48.3 |
Typical atrial flutter |
|
I48.4 |
Atypical atrial flutter |
|
I48.9 |
Unspecified |
OPCS4 |
K22.3 |
Exclusion of left atrial appendage NEC |
|
K57.1 |
Percutaneous transluminal ablation of atrioventricular node |
|
K62.1 |
Percutaneous transluminal ablation of pulmonary vein to left atrium conducting system |
|
K62.2 |
Percutaneous transluminal ablation of atrial wall for atrial flutter |
|
K62.3 |
Percutaneous transluminal ablation of conducting system of heart atrial flutter NEC |
|
K62.4 |
Percutaneous transluminal internal cardioversion NEC |
|
X50.1 |
Direct current cardioversion |
|
X50.2 |
External cardioversion NEC |
Table 2
Numbers of participants with post-randomization arrhythmia events from self- report and Hospital Episode Statistics data
|
Self-reported event among all individuals |
|
Self-reported event in individuals with no pre- randomization events of this type |
||||
Arrhythmia category |
Yes |
No |
Total |
|
Yes |
No |
Total |
Atrial fibrillation (AF) |
|||||||
No HES linkage |
8 |
388 |
396 |
|
8 |
388 |
396 |
AF event from HES record in any position |
244 |
938 |
1182 |
|
231 |
890 |
1121 |
No AF event from HES record post randomization |
49 |
13853 |
13902 |
|
48 |
13809 |
13857 |
Total |
301 |
15179 |
15480 |
|
287 |
15087 |
15374 |
Non-fatal ventricular arrhythmia (VA) |
|||||||
No HES linkage |
1 |
395 |
396 |
|
1 |
395 |
396 |
VA event from HES record in any position |
9 |
123 |
132 |
|
9 |
123 |
132 |
No VA event from HES record post randomization |
2 |
14950 |
14952 |
|
2 |
14943 |
14945 |
Total |
12 |
15468 |
15480 |
|
12 |
15461 |
15473 |
HES = hospital episode statistics. The number of participants with onset of AF is the 1121 with an onset of AF in HES (ie those with an event in HES during the trial but no pre-randomization AF), plus the 287 with a self-reported onset of AF in trial, minus the 231 with both HES and self-report. The number with non-fatal VA is the 132 HES events among all participants, plus the 12 self-reported events in trial, minus the 9 events with both HES and self-report, giving 135 in total.
figure 1
Numbers of participants with post randomization arrhythmia events from self-report and Hospital Episode Statistics data.
Venn diagrams showing the overlap between events recorded in the Hospital Episode Statistics (red circles) and the ASCEND trial events (blue circles) for onset of AF and non-fatal VA. Eight of the AF events and one of the VA events recorded in the trail but not in HES were in participants without HES linkage.